precog.sh · Launching beta Q1 2026
See the market
before it moves.
Wallet-level intelligence for prediction markets. Track sharp money, score alpha wallets, and decode positioning — before the crowd catches on.
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Core Intelligence
Every edge, decoded.
Precog turns raw prediction market data into actionable wallet intelligence. Know who’s moving, what they’re buying, and whether history says they’re worth following.
Sharp Money Scoring
Every wallet gets an alpha score based on historical hit rate, timing precision, conviction sizing, and market selection. Know who actually wins.
Real-Time Position Tracking
Watch sharp wallets enter and exit markets in real time. Get alerts when top-scored wallets make moves above your threshold.
Market Conviction Maps
Visualize how sharp vs. retail money is positioned on any market. See where the smart money disagrees with the crowd.
Wallet Clustering
Discover wallets with similar strategies. Identify momentum players, contrarians, arbitrageurs, and event-driven traders automatically.
Cross-Platform Divergence
Spot price dislocations between matched Polymarket and Kalshi markets. When sharp money loads one side on Polymarket but Kalshi odds disagree, that’s your edge.
Historical Backtesting
Replay any wallet’s trading history against outcomes. Validate who had real edge and who got lucky. Built on Predexon’s free historical data.
Sharp Money
The terminal for prediction markets.
Real-time wallet activity, scored leaderboards, and sharp money positioning — all in one view.
Wallet Classification
Not all wallets are equal.
Precog scores and classifies every active wallet into tiers based on verifiable historical performance. No self-reported stats. No vanity metrics.
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Apex
TOP 1% · SCORE 90+
Consistently profitable across 100+ resolved markets. Early entry timing. High conviction on winners. The wallets that move markets.
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Sharp
TOP 5% · SCORE 70-89
Above-average hit rate with meaningful sample size. Identifiable strategy patterns. Worth tracking for directional signals.
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Informed
TOP 15% · SCORE 50-69
Positive edge detected but smaller sample or inconsistent sizing. Potential future Sharps. Useful for consensus reads.
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Square
DEFAULT · SCORE <50
No demonstrable edge. Negative or flat P&L over resolved markets. The crowd. Often a useful contrarian signal.